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G. Gillmann (1, 2), C. E. Minder (3, 1)
(1) Department of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; (2) Swiss Federal Statistical Office, Neuchâtel, Switzerland; (3) Horten Zentrum, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Objectives: This paper is concerned with checking goodness-of-fit of binary logistic regression models. For the practitioners of data analysis, the broad classes of procedures for checking goodness-of-fit available in the literature are described. The challenges of model checking in the context of binary logistic regression are reviewed. As a viable solution, a simple graphical procedure for checking goodness-of-fit is proposed. Methods: The graphical procedure proposed relies on pieces of information available from any logistic analysis; the focus is on combining and presenting these in an informative way. Results: The information gained using this approach is presented with three examples. In the discussion, the proposed method is put into context and compared with other graphical procedures for checking goodness-of-fit of binary logistic models available in the literature. Conclusion: A simple graphical method can significantly improve the understanding of any logistic regression analysis and help to prevent faulty conclusions.
Nonlinear models, residuals